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JD Sports Fashion plc (JD.) — Sell: Worth What It Costs, Which Is Not Enough
Market Movements

JD Sports Fashion plc (JD.) — Sell: Worth What It Costs, Which Is Not Enough

JD Sports has cut profit guidance again, with group like-for-like sales down -3.1% and North America down -6.8%. Three straight years of falling adjusted earnings per share, £1.09bn of pre-tax profit adjusted away in four years, and a yield of only 1.3% while you wait. On 11.70p of earnings, 1% growth, an 8x multiple and an -8% reduction, I get 93.00p against a price of 92.42p — a value opportunity of +0.6%. That is no margin of safety at all: Sell, research grade C, probability 50%.

Aug 26, 202624 min read
Markets Defy the Hormuz Blockade — But I'm Stepping Aside for Now
Market Movements

Markets Defy the Hormuz Blockade — But I'm Stepping Aside for Now

The NASDAQ keeps climbing, UK airlines bounce back, and I've closed my position. Why the calm doesn't convince me and what the Trump administration's escalation means for short-term opportunities.

Apr 14, 20265 min read
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